Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000210 0.000234 0.000261 0.000291 0.000325 0.000362 0.000404
2025-03-02 0.000171 0.000204 0.000241 0.000287 0.000341 0.000403 0.000481
2025-03-09 0.000145 0.000182 0.000227 0.000285 0.000358 0.000446 0.000562
2025-03-16 0.000126 0.000166 0.000217 0.000285 0.000376 0.000491 0.000649
2025-03-23 0.000111 0.000153 0.000209 0.000287 0.000394 0.000536 0.000741
2025-03-30 0.000099 0.000141 0.000199 0.000285 0.000407 0.000575 0.000827
2025-04-06 0.000089 0.000133 0.000194 0.000287 0.000425 0.000622 0.000928
2025-04-13 0.000081 0.000125 0.000188 0.000288 0.000440 0.000666 0.001027
2025-04-20 0.000073 0.000116 0.000180 0.000284 0.000448 0.000699 0.001112
2025-04-27 0.000070 0.000113 0.000181 0.000293 0.000476 0.000764 0.001253
2025-05-04 0.000065 0.000109 0.000179 0.000298 0.000498 0.000820 0.001383
2025-05-11 0.000061 0.000105 0.000176 0.000301 0.000516 0.000873 0.001512
2025-05-18 0.000056 0.000099 0.000171 0.000300 0.000529 0.000918 0.001635
2025-05-25 0.000051 0.000092 0.000164 0.000295 0.000534 0.000952 0.001742
2025-06-01 0.000047 0.000087 0.000159 0.000294 0.000545 0.000996 0.001872
2025-06-08 0.000044 0.000083 0.000155 0.000294 0.000559 0.001046 0.002018
2025-06-15 0.000041 0.000080 0.000152 0.000295 0.000575 0.001101 0.002177
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000076 0.000147 0.000293 0.000584 0.001145 0.002319
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000073 0.000145 0.000295 0.000602 0.001207 0.002501
2025-07-06 0.000034 0.000070 0.000143 0.000296 0.000617 0.001264 0.002678
2025-07-13 0.000031 0.000067 0.000138 0.000292 0.000623 0.001301 0.002818
2025-07-20 0.000030 0.000066 0.000139 0.000302 0.000656 0.001400 0.003098
2025-07-27 0.000029 0.000065 0.000139 0.000307 0.000681 0.001481 0.003346